Arenas De Vega vs Atlético Pinilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas De Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDA
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LBA
3 - 2
CDA
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 2
VIR
36%
22%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 3
CDA
22%
20%
59%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 1
CDA
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Pinilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 6
NAR
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAC
4 - 1
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 6
ATL
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 4
ATL
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
CDE
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |