Arenas De Vega vs Sariegos del Bernesca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas De Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CUB
2 - 0
CDA
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 1
LLI
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
CDA
6%
13%
80%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 0
LAC
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sariegos del Bernesca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SBE
2 - 3
TOR
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
SBE
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SBE
4 - 1
CDE
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
SBE
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SBE
7 - 2
NAR
78%
13%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |