Arenas de Armilla vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
12º
10º
41
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
ARE
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 1
ARE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
CDT
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
ARE
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 1
HUE
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 1
HUE
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALM
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |