Aravaca vs Unión Valdebernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SFN
48%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 0
ARA
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
RCA
2 - 1
ARA
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 3
ARA
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Valdebernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
SHO
72%
16%
13%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 1
UNI
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
UNI
4%
10%
86%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
ARG
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
UNI
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |