Arahal vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ADS
3 - 1
ARH
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARH
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARH
3 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CDE
2 - 2
ARH
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ARH
1 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
ROC
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ADS
0 - 2
ROC
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |