Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
6º
45
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 48.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADU
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 1
LOK
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
ADU
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 3
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
0 - 2
ADU
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |