Aprilia vs Roma City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 3
APR
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
APR
4 - 1
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TNF
2 - 1
APR
55%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
APR
0 - 3
SAS
29%
28%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |