Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
5º
38
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 0
APO
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
APO
4 - 1
BYL
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 0
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
VOR
42%
24%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
KOR
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
BES
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BES
3 - 2
KRU
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
BES
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 4
BES
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |