Aparecidense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
APA
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
APA
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
APA
3 - 0
ANA
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 0
IMP
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 2
SAM
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
IMP
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 3
SAM
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
SAM
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |