Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
JAT
1 - 4
APA
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APA
3 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 0
APA
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
APA
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Goiatuba EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 0
GIO
94%
6%
1%
|
42 | 87 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GIO
0 - 0
ANA
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 3
GIO
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
GIO
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GIO
1 - 1
GOI
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |