Aoiz vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
IDO
0 - 2
AOI
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AOI
3 - 0
CDS
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ERR
1 - 1
AOI
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AOI
1 - 0
BID
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
2 - 3
AOI
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
MUR
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 4
LOU
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
INJ
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
INF
2 - 3
LOU
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
25%
23%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |