Antigua GFC vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
1º
11
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACH
51%
23%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
GUA
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |