Anguilla vs Guayana Francesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AIA
0 - 4
PRI
5%
14%
81%
|
5 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUY
7 - 0
AIA
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AIA
0 - 3
NIC
11%
18%
71%
|
5 | 48 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
5 - 0
AIA
78%
15%
7%
|
5 | 48 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
AIA
0 - 10
DOM
2%
9%
89%
|
5 | 55 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Guayana Francesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CRI
3 - 0
GUF
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
HND
3 - 0
GUF
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
GUF
2 - 4
CAN
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUF
1 - 0
MTQ
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
JAM
1 - 1
GUF
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |