Conference League Last 16
Global 2-1
Anderlecht vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
AND
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 2
SDL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
LUD
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KVK
2 - 2
AND
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
AND
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MLL
4 - 2
VIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCB
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELC
3 - 1
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |