Rio Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Americano vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
SAM
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
AME
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
REA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOV
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
RES
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +2 |