Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 4-1
América vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
AUR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 5
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
LEO
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 2
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 1
PUM
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 1
TIG
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 2
TIG
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |