América vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 1
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 3
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ATS
2 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 0
PUM
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 5
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOR
4 - 2
ATS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |