Liga MX Finals Cl. Final
Global 2-1
América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
AME
42%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |