América vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 2
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 0
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
TIG
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
AME
1 - 3
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |