América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
ARN
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 0
APA
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 0
POA
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FFL
3 - 0
ARN
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 1
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
POT
3 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
9%
19%
72%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
POT
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARN
4 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | -1 |