América RN vs Ríver analysis

América RN Ríver
56 ELO 48
7.7% Tilt 0.9%
2276º General ELO ranking 4358º
73º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
68.8%
América RN
19.1%
Draw
12%
Ríver

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
América RN
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
Ríver
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América RN
-3%
-11%
Ríver

ELO progression

América RN
Ríver
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América RN
América RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2016
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
América RN
ARN
49%
25%
26%
56 58 2 0
16 Jul. 2016
ARN
América RN
1 - 1
Remo
REM
54%
24%
22%
57 55 2 -1
11 Jul. 2016
CON
Confiança
0 - 2
América RN
ARN
35%
26%
38%
56 51 5 +1
04 Jul. 2016
CUI
Cuiabá
2 - 2
América RN
ARN
41%
27%
32%
56 56 0 0
26 Jun. 2016
ARN
América RN
1 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
47%
26%
28%
56 58 2 0

Matches

Ríver
Ríver
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2016
RIV
Ríver
1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
15%
26%
59%
47 69 22 0
17 Jul. 2016
CUI
Cuiabá
0 - 1
Ríver
RIV
63%
23%
15%
46 55 9 +1
10 Jul. 2016
RIV
Ríver
1 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
24%
29%
47%
45 59 14 +1
03 Jul. 2016
ABC
ABC
4 - 0
Ríver
RIV
70%
19%
11%
46 58 12 -1
26 Jun. 2016
RIV
Ríver
1 - 2
Confiança
CON
34%
28%
38%
47 51 4 -1
X