América RN vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
ARN
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
DUQ
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 4
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |