América RN vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ARN
1 - 1
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
ARN
5 - 1
FLA
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ARN
1 - 0
PPE
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CEA
1 - 1
ARN
44%
30%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
CEA
1 - 0
COR
25%
31%
43%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
COR
1 - 0
ABC
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
COR
3 - 0
FLA
80%
13%
6%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |