América Quito vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
9º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 2
AME
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
31%
27%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
AME
5 - 1
MAN
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
5 - 2
AME
52%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CUN
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
IMB
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 2
CUN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 1
OCT
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |