América Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.5%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 0
AMF
17%
23%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 3
ATM
28%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
UBE
0 - 3
AMF
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
90%
9%
2%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
21%
27%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |