Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 5-0
América Mineiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
AMF
73%
17%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
AMF
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 0
FLU
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AMF
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 2
CEA
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 3
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |