Taça de Portugal 1/16
Global 3-4
FC Alverca vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ALV
2 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
56%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BOA
5 - 1
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
2 - 1
JUV
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
3 - 1
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAÇ
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FAR
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
CAM
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |