Alvarado vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALV
44%
30%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
4 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALV
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALV
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
SAC
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 0
JJU
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
JJU
1 - 1
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 2
MER
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |