Aluvión vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 3
ALU
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALU
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 1
AOI
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALU
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
PEN
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 2
GAR
18%
23%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AOI
3 - 0
MUR
76%
15%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDC
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
MUR
64%
20%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
INJ
22%
21%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |