Aluvión vs CD Falcesino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 1
FUN
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 0
ALU
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDO
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 0
BUÑ
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FON
1 - 3
ALU
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Falcesino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
3 - 3
FAL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FON
3 - 3
FAL
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FAL
0 - 3
CLU
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 0
FAL
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FAL
2 - 1
CDC
21%
21%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |