Altos vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
CAM
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
BRA
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 2
ALT
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 3
PAY
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAY
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 0
CON
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
REM
2 - 2
PAY
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |