At. Alpicat vs Cervera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALP
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TER
1 - 4
ALP
9%
17%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 1
AEG
46%
21%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
7 - 2
SOL
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 1
PAN
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cervera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 1
AEG
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 2
CDC
25%
23%
53%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 1
PAN
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 4
CDC
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |