Almirante Brown vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALM
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
5 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 2
VSC
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
UAI
41%
27%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
BRO
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |