Almirante Brown vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 2
AGR
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GBR
3 - 1
ALM
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 2
CHA
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
ALM
44%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
DAL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
RAF
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
RAF
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 1
GBR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |