Almirante Brown vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
26.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TIG
3 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
QUI
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AGR
3 - 1
ALM
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
57%
27%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 0
ALM
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
4 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALV
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALV
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |