Almería vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
CDT
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 0
ALM
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
ALA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALM
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
GIM
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 2
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VAD
0 - 0
GIM
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
MLL
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIM
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |