Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Almería B vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ACF
0 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 1
VRU
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VRU
1 - 4
ALM
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
LIN
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALM
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ACF
0 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ACF
2 - 0
SES
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SES
1 - 0
ACF
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 2
ACF
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ACF
3 - 0
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |