Almagro vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALM
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 1
VSC
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
TEM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 0
BRO
35%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 1
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |