Alloa Athletic vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
PET
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 3
ALL
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
AIR
0 - 0
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ROS
3 - 2
ALL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
43%
28%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |