Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
42
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
3 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 4
FIR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
FUE
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 4
FIR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FIR
3 - 1
CDP
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
FIR
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |