Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
38
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
3 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 1
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
ONC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
AGU
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
FAS
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 1
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |