Alianza Universidad vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 0
AUN
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
AUN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 3
CAN
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 1
SBO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 0
SAM
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 1
AYA
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |