Alianza Universidad vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
LOS
0 - 1
AUN
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
LLA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
AUN
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AYA
1 - 3
AUN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
COM
3 - 2
SRP
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 2
COM
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
LLA
58%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
COM
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |