Alianza FC vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 2
AME
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 1
ALI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
BUC
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 0
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 1
PER
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 0
ONC
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 1
SFE
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 2
PAS
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |