Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 4-2
Alianza FC vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 3
CAL
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 3
ALI
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 0
QUI
21%
30%
49%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BOG
3 - 0
ORS
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 1
PAT
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
ORS
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 1
ALI
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |