Alianza FC vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
30.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 2
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 0
CUC
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUI
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
TRU
0 - 1
EQU
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |