Alianza Lima vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 3
DEL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
4 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAM
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAN
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |