Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALI
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 3
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
BIN
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 1
BIN
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 5
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 0
UCE
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 3
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |