Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALI
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
HUA
4 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 5
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 0
GAR
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 4
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |