Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALI
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
BIN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 2
RIV
44%
22%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 0
AGP
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
BIN
0 - 3
AGP
53%
22%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AGP
0 - 0
LLA
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |